FORT LAUDERDALE, FL – Bettors riding the Toronto Maple Leafs’ offense ran straight into a brick wall in Game 4, as the Florida Panthers turned back the clock to their 2023 Cup-winning form, blanking the Leafs 2-0 and cashing as -110 moneyline favorites.
It was a night where Florida dictated the pace, smothered the Leafs’ top scorers, and delivered a classic playoff under as the game total (6.5) stayed safely below the line.
Result: Panthers ML ✅ | Under 6.5 ✅ | Leafs ML ❌ | First Period Under 1.5 ✅
Panthers Defense, Bobrovsky Shine for Bettors
Sergei Bobrovsky turned away 22 shots, but more importantly, Florida kept the Leafs from generating clean high-danger looks, something Toronto had feasted on through the first three games.
- The Leafs were held off the board entirely, the first time in these playoffs they’ve been shut out.
- Florida clamped down early, avoiding the nightmare starts they suffered in Games 1 and 3, where they conceded goals inside the first 35 seconds.
Paul Maurice postgame: “We finally didn’t get scored on right away. That was a nice change.”
Series Odds Swing Again
With the series now deadlocked at 2-2, books adjusted overnight:
Before Game 4:
- Toronto to win series: -220
- Florida to win series: +180
After Game 4:
- Toronto: -120
- Florida: +100
The momentum — and the betting value — is now swinging toward Florida, especially if they can keep the Leafs’ offense bottled up in Game 5.
Key Betting Trends Emerging
- Under 6.5 has now hit twice in the series after starting 2-0 to the over.
- Toronto has scored first in 2 of 4 games, but Florida is now 3-1 when scoring first.
- Sergei Bobrovsky bounce-back special? After allowing 13 goals in the first three games, Bobrovsky has now lowered his series GAA to 2.75.
Game 5: Opening Odds and Wagering Angles
Game 5 – Wednesday, Scotiabank Arena (Toronto):
- Maple Leafs ML: -125
- Panthers ML: +105
- Over/Under 6.5: Over -110 / Under -110
Prop Watch:
- Leafs shots on goal props could be worth monitoring as Toronto will look to force more pucks to the net after being held to just 22 shots in Game 4.
- First Period Over 1.5 has been a popular play this series — worth a second look given the Leafs’ urgency at home.
Final Word for Bettors
Game 4 showed why Florida remains one of the smartest underdog plays in the playoffs — a veteran team that can suffocate opponents and make betting unders a high-percentage play.
The series now shifts to a best-of-3, and Toronto will need to solve Florida’s adjustments fast if they want to avoid being an upset casualty.
Game 5 could swing the series and the books hard — choose your side wisely.
