Game Details
📍 Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
📅 Date: Sunday, May 19, 2025
🕢 Time: 7:30 PM ET
📺 Watch on: CBC, SN, TNT, truTV, MAX
Current Odds (via major sportsbooks, as of May 17):
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Maple Leafs ML | -125 |
| Panthers ML | +105 |
| Over 5.5 Goals | -110 |
| Under 5.5 Goals | -110 |
| Leafs -1.5 (PL) | +195 |
| Panthers +1.5 | -225 |
Odds may shift closer to puck drop. Shop around for the best line.
Moneyline Outlook
The Leafs are slight home favourites in Game 7—reflecting their strong regular-season performance at Scotiabank Arena and their bounce-back win in Game 6. However, Florida has been a road warrior, winning key elimination games away from home last postseason, including a Stanley Cup Final Game 7.
Edge: Value bettors may lean Panthers at plus money, especially given coach Paul Maurice’s 5-0 Game 7 record.
Puck Line Value
If you believe in a tight, low-scoring affair (which recent games suggest), the Panthers +1.5 at -225 might be a parlay piece. If you’re chasing value and believe in a Toronto breakthrough, Leafs -1.5 at +195 could offer payout potential.
Over/Under Betting
The total is sitting at 5.5 goals, with the last three games all staying under. With the added tension and conservative coaching approaches expected in a Game 7, under bettors will like the pace and style both teams have adopted in this series.
Lean: Under 5.5 (-110), especially if Woll and Bobrovsky are locked in.
Top Player Props
Anytime Goal Scorers:
- Auston Matthews (+130): Finally broke through in Game 6 after a five-game goal drought. Confidence boost, high usage.
- Matthew Tkachuk (+180): Always a threat in big games, thrives in chaos.
- Max Pacioretty (+400): Eight career elimination game goals. Quietly reliable.
- Carter Verhaeghe (+240): Two Game 7 goals already in his career.
Point Props:
- Mitch Marner Over 0.5 Assists (-110): Continues to quietly produce, and top line usage ensures opportunity.
- Sam Reinhart Over 0.5 Points (-130): Florida’s most consistent offensive piece this series.
Goalie Props:
- Joseph Woll Saves Over 24.5 (-115): Panthers shoot often, especially from distance.
- Sergei Bobrovsky Under 2.5 GA (-105): Leafs struggling to score multiple goals this series.
Game 7 Trends to Know
📊 Maple Leafs Game 7 Record:
- All-time: 12-15
- Home: 7-3
- Last 6 Game 7s: 0-6
📊 Panthers Game 7 Record:
- All-time: 3-1
- Road: 2-0
📊 Coaching Edge:
- Paul Maurice (FLA): 5-0 in Game 7s
- Craig Berube (TOR): 2-1, including 2019 Cup Final win
📊 Unders are 4-1 in last 5 Game 7s across the NHL postseason
Expert Picks
1. Panthers ML (+105)
Toronto’s home ice is a factor, but Florida’s playoff poise and Maurice’s perfect Game 7 record are too strong to ignore.
2. Under 5.5 Total Goals (-110)
Both teams tighten up defensively under pressure. With elite goaltending on both sides, this could be a 2-1 or 3-2 game.
3. Auston Matthews Anytime Goal (+130)
He’s heating up and carries the confidence of a game-winner into Sunday. If the Leafs win, expect No. 34 to be on the scoresheet.
4. Mitch Marner Over 0.5 Assists (-110)
Leads the team in playoff assists and is always involved when the Leafs score.
