Stars vs. Oilers: Odds, Matchup Breakdown, and Betting Angles for the 2025 Western Conference Final

Grand prize winner will have opportunity to attend NHL event next season
Grand prize winner will have opportunity to attend NHL event next season

BETNEWSUPDATE – NHL PLAYOFFS – It’s the Western Conference Final that many bettors were hoping for: the Dallas Stars vs. the Edmonton Oilers, a rematch of last year’s six-game showdown, and a series loaded with star power, playoff pedigree—and betting potential.

The puck drops on Game 1 this Wednesday night in Dallas, with oddsmakers pricing the Stars as slight series favorites given home-ice advantage and recent form. But don’t count out the Oilers, who are peaking at the right time with back-to-back shutouts to eliminate Vegas.


Series Overview & Betting Odds (as of May 20)

  • Series Winner Odds:
    • Dallas Stars: -130
    • Edmonton Oilers: +110
  • Game 1 Moneyline:
    • Stars: -135
    • Oilers: +115
    • Over/Under: 6.5 goals (Over -105 / Under -115)

Season Series: Dallas won 2 of 3 regular season matchups
Last Year: Edmonton defeated Dallas 4–2 in the Western Final


Betting Breakdown: Key Trends & Angles

🔥 Hot Trend: Oilers in Elimination Games
Edmonton enters this series having shut out Vegas in back-to-back elimination games. Stuart Skinner has a .944 save percentage in his last three starts and hasn’t allowed a goal in 127+ minutes.

🔥 Stars Rebound Strong After Losses
Dallas goalie Jake Oettinger is 5-0 in games following a loss this postseason, posting a .929 save percentage. If Dallas drops a game early, bettors may want to hammer them in the next outing.


Player Props to Watch

Connor McDavid (EDM)

  • Leads the Oilers with 17 points (3G, 14A) in 11 playoff games
  • Over/Under 1.5 Points (Game 1): Over +110

Mikko Rantanen (DAL)

  • NHL playoff scoring leader with 19 points (9G, 10A)
  • Anytime Goal Scorer: +140

Corey Perry (EDM)

  • Tied for team lead in playoff goals (5)
  • Longshot First Goal Scorer Value: +1600

Jason Robertson (DAL)

  • Hat trick vs. Edmonton on March 26
  • Shots on Goal (O/U 3.5): Over -105

Special Teams Spotlight

This series could hinge on power play conversion rates:

  • Dallas: 31.3% PP success in the 2nd round
  • Edmonton: Just 1-for-11 (9.1%) on the PP vs. Vegas Note: McDavid has yet to score a power-play goal this postseason. That could change in a series that expects tighter 5-on-5 play.

Goaltending Edge

Dallas – Jake Oettinger

  • 8-5, 2.47 GAA, .919 SV%
  • Betting note: Hit the under in 4 of last 5 starts

Edmonton – Stuart Skinner

  • Rocky start, but back in form
  • Last 2 starts: 2 shutouts, 1.28 GAA

Bettors eyeing series totals may want to look hard at the Under 6.5, especially early if both goalies stay locked in.


X-Factors

  • Miro Heiskanen (DAL) returned from injury and logged 23+ minutes in Game 6. His ability to control pace and transition could be a quiet game-changer—undervalued in DFS and prop markets.
  • Evan Bouchard (EDM) is driving offense from the blue line (12 points). Power play production has been limited recently, but if he breaks out, assist props (O/U 0.5) could be gold.

Betting Prediction

This series looks destined to go deep. Dallas has the depth and structure, Edmonton has the star power and momentum. Game 1 leans toward the Stars at home, but long-term bettors may see more value in the Oilers +110 series line, especially if they steal one in Dallas early.

Prediction: Oilers in 7
Best Bets:

  • Game 1 Under 6.5 goals (-115)
  • McDavid Over 1.5 Points (+110)
  • Rantanen Anytime Goal (+140)
  • Oilers to Win Series in 7 (+500)